- Across the three scenarios, up to five years after diagnosis of breast, colorectal, lung and oesophageal cancers there are estimated to be an additional 3,291‒3,621 deaths, and an additional 59,204‒63,229 total years of life lost (YLLs).
- For breast cancer, across the three scenarios over five years, there was estimated to be 7.9‒9.6% increase in the number of deaths, corresponding to between 281 and 344 additional deaths.
- For colorectal cancer, there was estimated to be a 15.3‒16.6% increase in number of deaths, corresponding to between 1,445 and 1,563 additional deaths. For lung cancer there was estimated to be a 4.8‒5.3 % increase in number of deaths, corresponding to between 1,235 and 1,372 additional deaths.
- For oesphageal cancer there was estimated to be a 5.8‒6.0% increase in the number of deaths, corresponding to between 330 and 342 additional deaths.
- A backlog of referrals of 25% (with an average presentational delay of two months per patient) would result in 181 additional lives lost and 3,316 total years of life lost.
- A backlog of referrals of 50% would result in 361 additional lives lost and 6,632 total years of life lost.
- A back log of referrals of 75% would result in 542 additional lives lost and 9,948 total years of life lost.